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Update: Could Hurricane Sandy Head for Northern Virginia?

Some forecasters' scenarios have storm hitting Mid-Atlantic.

See Friday morning's updated weather story here.

 

UPDATE Thursday 8:30 a.m.: Hurricane Sandy, now a Category 2 hurricane with 105 mile per hour winds according to the National Hurricane Center, could impact the Northern Virginia area beginning Sunday, according to local forecasters.

If the hurricane shifts close to the D.C. region, the area can expect to begin seeing showers and gusty winds beginning Sunday afternoon, according to NBC4 meteorologist Tom Kierein. He notes the most severe weather could hit Monday into Tuesday when the area could see potential flooding, strong winds and possible power outages.

Dominion Virginia Power's Twitter account this morning, responding to a customer asking if they were prepared for the possible storm: "don't worry, we've got our eye on it and we're preparing now!"

UPDATE Wednesday 11:45 p.m.:

Now-Hurricane Sandy, a Category 1 hurricane with winds blowing at about 90 miles per hour Wednesday night, could affect the Northern Virginia area Sunday night into Monday if certain weather models hold, said NBC-4 chief meteorologist Doug Kammerer, in the station's newscast Wednesday night.

There is a "high threat of wind and rain around the DC metro area," he said. "We're going to be watching this very closely."

Kammerer said on the newscast that the worst of it would likely be power outages across the area.

WJLA reported that top officials met Wednesday at Dominion Virginia Power's operations center in Herndon to plan for the storm. They expect many of their 900,000 area customers may be impacted, WJLA said.

“We make sure we have the right material, our trucks are ready to go, our employees are aware…” Rodney Blevins, VP of operations, told the station.

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The National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Storm Watch Wednesday night for portions of eastern Florida. "Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of Sandy," the National Hurricane Center advised.

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Forecasters are keeping an eye on Tropical Storm Sandy, which was kicking up 50 mile-per-hour winds Tuesday in the Atlantic and headed toward hurricane status, according to forecasters.

"One of the scenarios is actually quite threatening to the northeastern U.S.," said the Weather Channel's hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross.

Once the storm's winds ramp up to 80 miles per hour Wednesday and Thursday heading through Cuba, Jamaica and the Bahamas, one scenario has it turning toward the Mid-Atlantic.

Climate Central's Andrew Freedman said it's what happens after passing the Bahamas that may be concerning: "...think if a hurricane and nor'easter mated, possibly spawning a very rare and powerful hybrid storm, slamming into the Boston-to-Washington corridor early next week, with rain, snow, damaging winds, and potential storm surge flooding."

The Capital Weather Gang's Brian McNoldy explained that the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) model has the storm coming up the mid-Atlantic coast "as a hurricane or possibly a hybrid tropical/nor’easter storm. It simulates flooding rain, strong wind, and destructive storm surge and coastal erosion affecting every state in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast. The model also would suggest snow at higher elevations in the interior. This simulation is also a bit of an outlier, but since the ECWMF is historically one of the better models, it should not be dismissed."

Northern Virginians won't soon forget Hurricane Irene, which blew into town last year in August as a tropical storm, bringing down trees all over the state that knocked out power and resulted in five deaths. The next month, Tropical Storm Lee hit the area.

Hurricane Irene was retired from the official list of Atlantic Basin tropical storm names by the World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) hurricane committee because of the fatalities and damage it caused and was replaced by Irma.

This is a list of retired hurricane names.

This year's hurricane season still has another five weeks to go until it's officially over on Nov. 30.

emma shea October 25, 2012 at 10:32 PM
Right in virginia, its getting windier and windier!!!!! i am nine years old and this is my second hurricane! the first one was irean she was weak very weak, right now my three cats are worried there names are my kitten her name is Abby my big one he is orange Jack
John October 26, 2012 at 12:01 AM
only if you live in P.A. or further north. It looks to miss V.A. directly.
Amber Hensley October 27, 2012 at 04:43 AM
I pray that everything and everyone will be okay
Sally Spangler October 27, 2012 at 03:37 PM
I did too, Nick, but at the time I typed the above, I couldn't remember the name to save my life. What I was remembering was the shaky drive home from Ft Belvoir after listening to the Assistant Post Commander talking to the senior officers of the post as to whether to send student troops with trucks and loaded with sand bags. Seems the dam at the Reformatory was earthen, and if that went along with the one above it which controlled the amount of water taken for Fairfax Water and the dam across from that one taking water for Prince William County, particularly Woodbridge would hold. Well, they didn't - which meant that the little dam at Occoquan didn't hold and the bridge crossing from Fairfax side into the town of Occoquan disappeared under water and the bridge crossing from Fairfax, US1 to Woodbridge that was on wooden pilings laid flat lost out to the metal of the Occoquan bridge took them out and almost got the railroad bridge beside it. The only bridge to hold was the new concrete bridge just completed not too many weeks before was the only way to get traffic from Prince William County to Fairfax County. Lake Jackson in Manassas went over the top of its dam and caused flooding. By the way, only one piece of traffic was allowed the new bridge at a time and no faster than 15 miles an hour. Talk to some of the old residents of Woodbridge for that scare!
Sally Spangler October 27, 2012 at 03:41 PM
We will see little of what hit well south of us. I've been in and around a number of storms. Somehow we miss the worst of the problems each time. This one will most likely peter out to heavy rain for a while and then slowly disappear inland and when that happens the whole thing will collapse. Agnes of 1972 was the worst. Nothng like that has happened since!

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